Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 1.537823 1.760989 2.006136 2.295569 2.628174 2.998698 3.443165
2025-07-20 1.281223 1.587493 1.951870 2.418006 2.999548 3.702568 4.619174
2025-07-27 1.085916 1.439532 1.890062 2.507722 3.335164 4.409162 5.915318
2025-08-03 0.923245 1.298631 1.806568 2.546822 3.603058 5.063490 7.249351
2025-08-10 0.767650 1.137811 1.666071 2.478888 3.705696 5.500559 8.348612
2025-08-17 0.633291 0.983541 1.507734 2.354509 3.698783 5.768247 9.230315
2025-08-24 0.549759 0.891244 1.425177 2.327302 3.827961 6.249922 10.506085
2025-08-31 0.479119 0.807880 1.342976 2.285213 3.921645 6.680650 11.755590
2025-09-07 0.445647 0.780047 1.345507 2.381245 4.255739 7.551159 13.884635
2025-09-14 0.407066 0.737591 1.316634 2.416820 4.485832 8.268045 15.841709
2025-09-21 0.365454 0.683814 1.260207 2.393392 4.602211 8.790253 17.505914
2025-09-28 0.319638 0.616141 1.169579 2.292682 4.556050 8.996156 18.574984
2025-10-05 0.302026 0.601181 1.178269 2.390266 4.922711 10.077943 21.644297
2025-10-12 0.287190 0.589775 1.192500 2.501452 5.334887 11.315704 25.261102
2025-10-19 0.270660 0.572696 1.193111 2.584548 5.700772 12.512456 28.997594
2025-10-26 0.251295 0.547041 1.172560 2.619144 5.965840 13.529989 32.501425
2025-11-02 0.225146 0.503240 1.107655 2.546008 5.976217 13.975534 34.721642
2025-11-09 0.197932 0.453507 1.023350 2.416404 5.834899 14.045623 36.024730
2025-11-16 0.181134 0.425419 0.984180 2.387458 5.931210 14.698933 38.929128
2025-11-23 0.165190 0.397295 0.941379 2.343681 5.984153 15.252552 41.667952
2025-11-30 0.159534 0.393184 0.954902 2.441903 6.414046 16.830741 47.482957
2025-12-07 0.150679 0.380039 0.944788 2.478211 6.686884 18.038982 52.476551
2025-12-14 0.139403 0.359359 0.913333 2.454056 6.792840 18.812958 56.348950